Winterthur x FC Thun Betting tips for December 16 in Switzerland Super League
| 📅 16/12/2025 19:30 |
 Winterthur3.95 |
X 3.80 |
FC Thun  1.75 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Winterthur x FC Thun:
🔮 FC Thun wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Thun, you can win up to $875.00!
The main points for the tip for Winterthur x FC Thun:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Winterthur in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $241.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Thun in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $440.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, FC Thun scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Winterthur conceded at least 1 goal(s).
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Analysis from Winterthur x FC Thun for the Switzerland Super League – 16 of December
🏟️ Winterthur X FC Thun – Switzerland Super League
📅 16 of December, 2025 – 19:30
🔵 Winterthur – Winning probability: 6.38% | Fair line: 15.68
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.84% | Fair line: 8.45
🔴 FC Thun – Winning probability: 81.79% | Fair line: 1.22
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Winterthur
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Winterthur and FC Thun.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1453683 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Winterthur x FC Thun
Is it worth betting on Winterthur?
🔵 Winterthur: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.38%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 60 times – profiting $177.00;
- And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$763.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.84% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $336.00;
- And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$544.00.
Should you bet on FC Thun?
🔴 FC Thun: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 81.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 820 times – this would give you a profit of $615.00
- And would lose other 180 times – losing -$180.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$435.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Winterthur x FC Thun
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Winterthur
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Winterthur x FC Thun
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Winterthur, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Winterthur.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 FC Thun.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Winterthur x FC Thun
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.
