Arsenal x Crystal Palace Betting tips for December 16 in England EFL Cup
| 📅 16/12/2025 19:45 |
 Arsenal1.57 |
X 4.00 |
Crystal Palace  5.50 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Arsenal x Crystal Palace:
🔮 Arsenal wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Arsenal, you can win up to $785.00!
Some important points for the tip for Arsenal x Crystal Palace:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Arsenal in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $258.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Crystal Palace in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $251.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Arsenal scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Crystal Palace scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Crystal Palace, Arsenal scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Crystal Palace did not receive any yellow cards in the last 3 matches as the away team.
👉 Arsenal is good playing home: it has 8 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Crystal Palace is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.
👉 Arsenal has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Crystal Palace playing at home.
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Analysis from Arsenal x Crystal Palace for the England EFL Cup – 16 of December
🏟️ Arsenal X Crystal Palace – England EFL Cup
📅 16 of December, 2025 – 19:45
🔵 Arsenal – Winning probability: 83.87% | Fair line: 1.19
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 9.62% | Fair line: 10.39
🔴 Crystal Palace – Winning probability: 6.51% | Fair line: 15.36
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Arsenal
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks
When the best bet on Arsenal x Crystal Palace is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452985 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Arsenal x Crystal Palace
Is it worth betting on Arsenal?
🔵 Arsenal: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 83.87%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.57. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 840 times – this would give you a profit of $478.80
- And would lose other 160 times – having a loss of -$160.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$318.80.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 100 times – profiting $300.00;
- And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$600.00.
Should you bet on Crystal Palace?
🔴 Crystal Palace: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.51%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $315.00;
- And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$615.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Arsenal x Crystal Palace
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Arsenal
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Arsenal x Crystal Palace
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Arsenal, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Arsenal.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Arsenal x Crystal Palace
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
