Cardiff x Chelsea Betting tips for December 16 in England EFL Cup
| 📅 16/12/2025 20:00 |
 Cardiff12.59 |
X 6.38 |
Chelsea  1.22 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Cardiff x Chelsea:
🔮 Chelsea wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chelsea, you can win up to $610.00!
Some important points for the tip for Cardiff x Chelsea:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Cardiff in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $265.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Chelsea in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-350.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Cardiff scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Cardiff matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Cardiff conceded at least 2 goal(s).
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Cardiff x Chelsea?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Cardiff x Chelsea, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Cardiff x Chelsea for the England EFL Cup – 16 of December
🏟️ Cardiff X Chelsea – England EFL Cup
📅 16 of December, 2025 – 20:00
🔵 Cardiff – Winning probability: 0.50% | Fair line: 198.7
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 1.37% | Fair line: 72.74
🔴 Chelsea – Winning probability: 98.12% | Fair line: 1.02
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 Cardiff
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
When the best bet on Cardiff x Chelsea is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452985 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Cardiff x Chelsea
Is betting on Cardiff worth it?
🔵 Cardiff: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 12.59. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $115.90;
- And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$874.10.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.37%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 10 times – profiting $53.80;
- And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$936.20.
Is betting on Chelsea worth it?
🔴 Chelsea: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 98.12%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 980 times – this would give you a profit of $215.60
- And would lose other 20 times – having a loss of -$20.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$195.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Cardiff x Chelsea
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 Cardiff
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cardiff x Chelsea
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.5 Cardiff, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.75 Cardiff.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.75 Cardiff.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cardiff x Chelsea
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.
