Marchamalo x Villarrubia CF Betting tips for December 13 in Spain Tercera Group 18
| 📅 13/12/2025 15:30 |
 Marchamalo2.60 |
X 3.05 |
Villarrubia CF  2.50 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Marchamalo x Villarrubia CF:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1525.00!
Important information for your tip for Marchamalo x Villarrubia CF:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Marchamalo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-135.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Villarrubia CF in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Villarrubia CF did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Villarrubia CF conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Marchamalo conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Villarrubia CF.
👉 It is not a good time for Villarrubia CF as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.
Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Marchamalo x Villarrubia CF?
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Analysis from Marchamalo x Villarrubia CF for the Spain Tercera Group 18 – 13 of December
🏟️ Marchamalo X Villarrubia CF – Spain Tercera Group 18
📅 13 of December, 2025 – 15:30
🔵 Marchamalo – Winning probability: 27.04% | Fair line: 3.7
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.36% | Fair line: 2.91
🔴 Villarrubia CF – Winning probability: 38.60% | Fair line: 2.59
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Marchamalo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Marchamalo x Villarrubia CF right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1452291 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Marchamalo x Villarrubia CF
Is it a good idea to bet on Marchamalo?
🔵 Marchamalo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $432.00;
- And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$298.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 340 times – profiting $697.00;
- And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$37.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Villarrubia CF?
🔴 Villarrubia CF: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $585.00
- And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$25.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Marchamalo x Villarrubia CF
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Marchamalo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Marchamalo x Villarrubia CF
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Marchamalo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Marchamalo.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Marchamalo x Villarrubia CF
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
