Pieta Hotspurs x Mgarr United Betting tips for December 13 in Malta Challenge League
| 📅 13/12/2025 15:30 |
Pieta Hotspurs2.15 |
X 3.35 |
Mgarr United ![]() 2.90 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Pieta Hotspurs x Mgarr United:
👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Pieta Hotspurs x Mgarr United
Important information for your tip for Pieta Hotspurs x Mgarr United:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Pieta Hotspurs in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $426.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Mgarr United in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $125.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Pieta Hotspurs scored at least 1 goal(s).
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Analysis from Pieta Hotspurs x Mgarr United for the Malta Challenge League – 13 of December
🏟️ Pieta Hotspurs X Mgarr United – Malta Challenge League
📅 13 of December, 2025 – 15:30
🔵 Pieta Hotspurs – Winning probability: 45.44% | Fair line: 2.2
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.02% | Fair line: 3.7
🔴 Mgarr United – Winning probability: 27.54% | Fair line: 3.63
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Pieta Hotspurs
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Pieta Hotspurs x Mgarr United right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1452291 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Pieta Hotspurs x Mgarr United
Is betting on Pieta Hotspurs worth it?
🔵 Pieta Hotspurs: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 45.44% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $517.50
- And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$32.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $634.50
- And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$95.50.
Should you bet on Mgarr United?
🔴 Mgarr United: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $532.00;
- And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$188.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Pieta Hotspurs x Mgarr United
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Pieta Hotspurs
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pieta Hotspurs x Mgarr United
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Pieta Hotspurs, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Pieta Hotspurs.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Mgarr United.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pieta Hotspurs x Mgarr United
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Pieta Hotspurs