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Home Β» Predictions Β» UD Barbadas x Silva SD Betting tips for December 13 in Spain Tercera Group 1
Saturday, 13 December 2025, 15h30 Spain Tercera Group 1
UD Barbadas UD Barbadas
PREDICTION No tip
Silva SD Silva SD
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UD Barbadas x Silva SD Betting tips for December 13 in Spain Tercera Group 1

Our betting tip for UD Barbadas x Silva SD, Saturday, 13/12/2025
πŸ“… 13/12/2025
15:30
UD Barbadas UD Barbadas
2.38
X
3.10
Silva SD Silva SD
2.72

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for UD Barbadas x Silva SD:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for UD Barbadas x Silva SD

The main points for the tip for UD Barbadas x Silva SD:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on UD Barbadas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Silva SD in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-67.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 Silva SD matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, UD Barbadas conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ UD Barbadas has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Silva SD playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from UD Barbadas x Silva SD for the Spain Tercera Group 1 – 13 of December

🏟️ UD Barbadas X Silva SD – Spain Tercera Group 1
πŸ“… 13 of December, 2025 – 15:30
πŸ”΅ UD Barbadas – Winning probability: 38.15% | Fair line: 2.62
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.39% | Fair line: 3.29
πŸ”΄ Silva SD – Winning probability: 31.46% | Fair line: 3.18
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 UD Barbadas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for UD Barbadas x Silva SD right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452291 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for UD Barbadas x Silva SD

Is it worth betting on UD Barbadas?

πŸ”΅ UD Barbadas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – profiting $524.40;
  • And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$95.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $630.00
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$70.00.

Is it worth betting on Silva SD?

πŸ”΄ Silva SD: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.46% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $533.20;
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$156.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match UD Barbadas x Silva SD

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 UD Barbadas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UD Barbadas x Silva SD

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 UD Barbadas, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 UD Barbadas.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 UD Barbadas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UD Barbadas x Silva SD

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves