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Home » Predictions » Albacete B x Illescas Betting tips for December 13 in Spain Tercera Group 18
Saturday, 13 December 2025, 16h00 Spain Tercera Group 18
Albacete B Albacete B
PREDICTION Albacete B wins Probability 81% 1 X 2
Illescas Illescas
ODD: @1.48
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Albacete B x Illescas Betting tips for December 13 in Spain Tercera Group 18

Our betting tip for Albacete B x Illescas, Saturday, 13/12/2025
📅 13/12/2025
16:00
Albacete B Albacete B
1.48
X
3.75
Illescas Illescas
6.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Albacete B x Illescas:

🔮 Albacete B wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Albacete B, you can win up to $740.00!

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The main points for the tip for Albacete B x Illescas:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Albacete B in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $96.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Illescas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $231.0.
👉 Albacete B did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Illescas, Albacete B scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Albacete B x Illescas, with Albacete B as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Albacete B conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Illescas.

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Summary

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Analysis from Albacete B x Illescas for the Spain Tercera Group 18 – 13 of December

🏟️ Albacete B X Illescas – Spain Tercera Group 18
📅 13 of December, 2025 – 16:00
🔵 Albacete B – Winning probability: 81.31% | Fair line: 1.23
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.17% | Fair line: 7.06
🔴 Illescas – Winning probability: 4.52% | Fair line: 22.11
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Albacete B
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Albacete B x Illescas is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452291 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Albacete B x Illescas

Is betting on Albacete B worth it?

🔵 Albacete B: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 81.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.48. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 810 times – this would give you a profit of $388.80
  • And would lose other 190 times – losing -$190.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$198.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.17%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $385.00;
  • And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$475.00.

Should you bet on Illescas?

🔴 Illescas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $250.00;
  • And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$700.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Albacete B x Illescas

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Albacete B
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Albacete B x Illescas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Albacete B and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Albacete B.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Albacete B.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Albacete B x Illescas

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves