Cardiff MU x Caernarfon Town Betting tips for December 13 in Wales Cup

Our betting tip for Cardiff MU x Caernarfon Town, Saturday, 13/12/2025

📅 13/12/2025 17:25

Cardiff MU 2.69

X 3.52

Caernarfon Town 2.22

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Cardiff MU x Caernarfon Town:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Cardiff MU x Caernarfon Town

The main points for the tip for Cardiff MU x Caernarfon Town:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Cardiff MU in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $462.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Caernarfon Town, Cardiff MU scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Cardiff MU matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Cardiff MU x Caernarfon Town, with Cardiff MU as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Cardiff MU conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Caernarfon Town conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Cardiff MU conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Caernarfon Town.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Cardiff MU x Caernarfon Town?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Cardiff MU x Caernarfon Town, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Cardiff MU x Caernarfon Town for the Wales Cup – 13 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Cardiff MU and Caernarfon Town.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452291 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cardiff MU x Caernarfon Town

Is it worth betting on Cardiff MU?

🔵 Cardiff MU: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.69. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $659.10;
• And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$49.10.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.52. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $403.20
• And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$436.80.

Is it worth betting on Caernarfon Town?

🔴 Caernarfon Town: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.44% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $536.80
• And would have lost other 560 times – with a loss of -$560.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$23.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Cardiff MU x Caernarfon Town

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Cardiff MU
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cardiff MU x Caernarfon Town

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Cardiff MU, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Cardiff MU.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Cardiff MU.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cardiff MU x Caernarfon Town

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.