San Donato Tavarnelle x Grosseto Betting tips for December 14 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for San Donato Tavarnelle x Grosseto, Sunday, 14/12/2025

📅 14/12/2025 13:30

San Donato Tavarnelle 2.68

X 3.19

Grosseto 2.30

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for San Donato Tavarnelle x Grosseto:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for San Donato Tavarnelle x Grosseto

Important information for your tip for San Donato Tavarnelle x Grosseto:

👉 If you had bet $100 on San Donato Tavarnelle in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-305.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Grosseto in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $417.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Grosseto scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 San Donato Tavarnelle matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Grosseto is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 6 wins in a row in its last road matches.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on San Donato Tavarnelle x Grosseto?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on San Donato Tavarnelle x Grosseto, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from San Donato Tavarnelle x Grosseto for the Italy Serie D – 14 of December

When the best bet on San Donato Tavarnelle x Grosseto is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452657 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for San Donato Tavarnelle x Grosseto

Should you bet on San Donato Tavarnelle?

🔵 San Donato Tavarnelle: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.68. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $487.20;
• And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$222.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.21% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.19. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $678.90
• And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$11.10.

Is it worth betting on Grosseto?

🔴 Grosseto: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 390 times – profiting $507.00;
• And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$103.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match San Donato Tavarnelle x Grosseto

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 San Donato Tavarnelle
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for San Donato Tavarnelle x Grosseto

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 San Donato Tavarnelle, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 San Donato Tavarnelle.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Grosseto.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for San Donato Tavarnelle x Grosseto

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.