Ghiviborgo x Aquila 1902 Montevarchi Betting tips for December 14 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Ghiviborgo x Aquila 1902 Montevarchi, Sunday, 14/12/2025

📅 14/12/2025 13:30

Ghiviborgo 2.27

X 3.40

Aquila 1902 Montevarchi 2.62

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Ghiviborgo x Aquila 1902 Montevarchi:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Ghiviborgo x Aquila 1902 Montevarchi

Important information for your tip for Ghiviborgo x Aquila 1902 Montevarchi:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Ghiviborgo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-179.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Aquila 1902 Montevarchi in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-23.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Ghiviborgo scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Ghiviborgo conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Aquila 1902 Montevarchi.
👉 Even as a visitor, Aquila 1902 Montevarchi won the last 3 head-to-head matches Ghiviborgo´s territory

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Analysis from Ghiviborgo x Aquila 1902 Montevarchi for the Italy Serie D – 14 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Ghiviborgo and Aquila 1902 Montevarchi.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1452657 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Ghiviborgo x Aquila 1902 Montevarchi

Should you bet on Ghiviborgo?

🔵 Ghiviborgo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.27. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $482.60;
• And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$137.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $744.00
• And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$54.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is betting on Aquila 1902 Montevarchi worth it?

🔴 Aquila 1902 Montevarchi: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $518.40;
• And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$161.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Ghiviborgo x Aquila 1902 Montevarchi

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Ghiviborgo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ghiviborgo x Aquila 1902 Montevarchi

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Ghiviborgo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Ghiviborgo.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Ghiviborgo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ghiviborgo x Aquila 1902 Montevarchi

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.