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Home » Predictions » Others » Real Monterotondo x Atletico Lodigiani Betting tips for December 14 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 14 December 2025, 13h30 Italy Serie D
Real Monterotondo Real Monterotondo
PREDICTION No tip
Atletico Lodigiani Atletico Lodigiani
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Real Monterotondo x Atletico Lodigiani Betting tips for December 14 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Real Monterotondo x Atletico Lodigiani, Sunday, 14/12/2025
📅 14/12/2025
13:30
Real Monterotondo Real Monterotondo
2.44
X
3.20
Atletico Lodigiani Atletico Lodigiani
2.58

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Real Monterotondo x Atletico Lodigiani:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Real Monterotondo x Atletico Lodigiani

The main points for the tip for Real Monterotondo x Atletico Lodigiani:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Monterotondo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-136.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Lodigiani in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Atletico Lodigiani conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Real Monterotondo x Atletico Lodigiani for the Italy Serie D – 14 of December

🏟️ Real Monterotondo X Atletico Lodigiani – Italy Serie D
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 Real Monterotondo – Winning probability: 35.49% | Fair line: 2.82
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.92% | Fair line: 3.46
🔴 Atletico Lodigiani – Winning probability: 35.59% | Fair line: 2.81
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Real Monterotondo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Real Monterotondo x Atletico Lodigiani is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452657 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Real Monterotondo x Atletico Lodigiani

Is it a good idea to bet on Real Monterotondo?

🔵 Real Monterotondo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.44. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $504.00
  • And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$146.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.92% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $638.00;
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$72.00.

Should you bet on Atletico Lodigiani?

🔴 Atletico Lodigiani: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.59% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.58. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $568.80;
  • And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$71.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Real Monterotondo x Atletico Lodigiani

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Real Monterotondo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Real Monterotondo x Atletico Lodigiani

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Real Monterotondo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Real Monterotondo.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Atletico Lodigiani.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Real Monterotondo x Atletico Lodigiani

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves