Derby (W) x Sunderland (W) Betting tips for December 14 in England FA Cup Women
| 📅 14/12/2025 14:00 |
 Derby (W)5.60 |
X 4.50 |
Sunderland (W)  1.40 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Derby (W) x Sunderland (W):
🔮 Sunderland (W) wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sunderland (W), you can win up to $700.00!
Important information for your tip for Derby (W) x Sunderland (W):
👉 If you had bet $100 on Derby (W) in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-178.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sunderland (W) in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Sunderland (W) scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Derby (W) conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Sunderland (W) conceded at least 1 goal(s).
Looking for another bookie to bet on Derby (W) x Sunderland (W)?
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Analysis from Derby (W) x Sunderland (W) for the England FA Cup Women – 14 of December
🏟️ Derby (W) X Sunderland (W) – England FA Cup Women
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 14:00
🔵 Derby (W) – Winning probability: 3.95% | Fair line: 25.29
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 5.34% | Fair line: 18.71
🔴 Sunderland (W) – Winning probability: 90.70% | Fair line: 1.1
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Derby (W)
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Derby (W) and Sunderland (W).
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452657 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Derby (W) x Sunderland (W)
Is it a good idea to bet on Derby (W)?
🔵 Derby (W): the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.95% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $184.00;
- And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$776.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $175.00;
- And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$775.00.
Is betting on Sunderland (W) worth it?
🔴 Sunderland (W): the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 90.7% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 910 times – having a profit of $364.00;
- And would lose other 90 times – having a loss of -$90.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$274.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Derby (W) x Sunderland (W)
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Derby (W)
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Derby (W) x Sunderland (W)
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 Derby (W) and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.25 Derby (W).
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.25 Derby (W).
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Derby (W) x Sunderland (W)
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
