Manchester City x Brentford Betting tips for December 17 in England EFL Cup
| 📅 17/12/2025 19:30 |
 Manchester City1.33 |
X 5.00 |
Brentford  8.00 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Manchester City x Brentford:
🔮 Manchester City wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Manchester City, you can win up to $665.00!
Important information for your tip for Manchester City x Brentford:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Manchester City in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $85.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Brentford in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-362.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Brentford, Manchester City scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Brentford conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Brentford as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.
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Analysis from Manchester City x Brentford for the England EFL Cup – 17 of December
🏟️ Manchester City X Brentford – England EFL Cup
📅 17 of December, 2025 – 19:30
🔵 Manchester City – Winning probability: 91.40% | Fair line: 1.09
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 4.88% | Fair line: 20.49
🔴 Brentford – Winning probability: 3.72% | Fair line: 26.9
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Manchester City
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Manchester City x Brentford right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452657 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Manchester City x Brentford
Is it worth betting on Manchester City?
🔵 Manchester City: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 91.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 910 times – profiting $300.30;
- And would lose other 90 times – losing -$90.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$210.30.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.88% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $200.00;
- And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$750.00.
Is betting on Brentford worth it?
🔴 Brentford: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 40 times – profiting $280.00;
- And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$680.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Manchester City x Brentford
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Manchester City
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Manchester City x Brentford
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Manchester City and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Manchester City.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Manchester City x Brentford
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.
