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Home » Predictions » Others » Willem II x Sparta Rotterdam Betting tips for December 18 in Netherlands Cup
Thursday, 18 December 2025, 20h00 Netherlands Cup
Willem II Willem II
PREDICTION Sparta Rotterdam Wins Probability 67% 1 X 2
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
ODD: @1.95
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Willem II x Sparta Rotterdam Betting tips for December 18 in Netherlands Cup

Our betting tip for Willem II x Sparta Rotterdam, Thursday, 18/12/2025
📅 18/12/2025
20:00
Willem II Willem II
3.30
X
3.60
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
1.95

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Willem II x Sparta Rotterdam:

🔮 Sparta Rotterdam wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sparta Rotterdam, you can win up to $975.00!

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Important information for your tip for Willem II x Sparta Rotterdam:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Willem II in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-107.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sparta Rotterdam in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $263.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Sparta Rotterdam, Willem II scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Willem II matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Willem II x Sparta Rotterdam, with Willem II as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Willem II conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Sparta Rotterdam.

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Summary

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Analysis from Willem II x Sparta Rotterdam for the Netherlands Cup – 18 of December

🏟️ Willem II X Sparta Rotterdam – Netherlands Cup
📅 18 of December, 2025 – 20:00
🔵 Willem II – Winning probability: 18.46% | Fair line: 5.42
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.84% | Fair line: 7.23
🔴 Sparta Rotterdam – Winning probability: 67.71% | Fair line: 1.48
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Willem II
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Willem II x Sparta Rotterdam right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1454746 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Willem II x Sparta Rotterdam

Is betting on Willem II worth it?

🔵 Willem II: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.46% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $414.00;
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$406.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.84%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $364.00;
  • And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$496.00.

Should you bet on Sparta Rotterdam?

🔴 Sparta Rotterdam: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 67.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 680 times – having a profit of $646.00;
  • And would lose other 320 times – having a loss of -$320.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$326.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Willem II x Sparta Rotterdam

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Willem II
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Willem II x Sparta Rotterdam

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Willem II and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Willem II.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Willem II.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Willem II x Sparta Rotterdam

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves