NK Varazdin x Istra 1961 Betting tips for December 19 in Croatia HNL
| 📅 19/12/2025 15:00 |
 NK Varazdin2.51 |
X 2.94 |
Istra 1961  2.78 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for NK Varazdin x Istra 1961:
🔮 NK Varazdin wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on NK Varazdin, you can win up to $1255.00!
Important information for your tip for NK Varazdin x Istra 1961:
👉 If you had bet $100 on NK Varazdin in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $190.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Istra 1961 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $90.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, NK Varazdin scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Istra 1961 conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 NK Varazdin has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Istra 1961 playing at home.
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Analysis from NK Varazdin x Istra 1961 for the Croatia HNL – 19 of December
🏟️ NK Varazdin X Istra 1961 – Croatia HNL
📅 19 of December, 2025 – 15:00
🔵 NK Varazdin – Winning probability: 45.46% | Fair line: 2.2
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.76% | Fair line: 3.05
🔴 Istra 1961 – Winning probability: 21.78% | Fair line: 4.59
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 NK Varazdin
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for NK Varazdin x Istra 1961 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1454884 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for NK Varazdin x Istra 1961
Should you bet on NK Varazdin?
🔵 NK Varazdin: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 45.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.51. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 450 times – profiting $679.50;
- And would lose other 550 times – losing -$550.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$129.50.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.94. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $640.20;
- And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$29.80.
Is betting on Istra 1961 worth it?
🔴 Istra 1961: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.78. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $391.60;
- And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$388.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match NK Varazdin x Istra 1961
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 NK Varazdin
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for NK Varazdin x Istra 1961
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 NK Varazdin and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 NK Varazdin.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Istra 1961.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for NK Varazdin x Istra 1961
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
