Lommel x Lierse Kempenzonen Betting tips for December 19 in Belgium First Division B
| 📅 19/12/2025 19:00 |
Lommel1.90 |
X 3.50 |
Lierse Kempenzonen ![]() 3.50 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Lommel x Lierse Kempenzonen:
👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Lommel x Lierse Kempenzonen
The main points for the tip for Lommel x Lierse Kempenzonen:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lommel in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-315.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lierse Kempenzonen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $25.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Lommel scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Lierse Kempenzonen matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
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Analysis from Lommel x Lierse Kempenzonen for the Belgium First Division B – 19 of December
🏟️ Lommel X Lierse Kempenzonen – Belgium First Division B
📅 19 of December, 2025 – 19:00
🔵 Lommel – Winning probability: 52.29% | Fair line: 1.91
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.96% | Fair line: 3.85
🔴 Lierse Kempenzonen – Winning probability: 21.75% | Fair line: 4.6
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Lommel
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lommel x Lierse Kempenzonen right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1454884 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Lommel x Lierse Kempenzonen
Is betting on Lommel worth it?
🔵 Lommel: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 52.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 520 times – having a profit of $468.00;
- And would have lost other 480 times – with a loss of -$480.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$12.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 260 times – profiting $650.00;
- And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$90.00.
Is it worth betting on Lierse Kempenzonen?
🔴 Lierse Kempenzonen: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.75% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $550.00;
- And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$230.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Lommel x Lierse Kempenzonen
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Lommel
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lommel x Lierse Kempenzonen
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Lommel and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Lommel.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lommel x Lierse Kempenzonen
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

Lommel