RB Leipzig x Bayer Leverkusen Betting tips for December 20 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for RB Leipzig x Bayer Leverkusen, Saturday, 20/12/2025

📅 20/12/2025 17:30

RB Leipzig 2.00

X 3.80

Bayer Leverkusen 3.30

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for RB Leipzig x Bayer Leverkusen:

🔮 RB Leipzig wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on RB Leipzig, you can win up to $1000.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for RB Leipzig x Bayer Leverkusen:

👉 If you had bet $100 on RB Leipzig in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $292.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Bayer Leverkusen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $1351.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, RB Leipzig scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Bayer Leverkusen, RB Leipzig scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Bayer Leverkusen matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 RB Leipzig is good playing home: it has 7 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

🤖 What does ChatGPT think about our prediction for RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen?

⚽ The match between RB Leipzig and Bayer Leverkusen is expected to be balanced, but my analysis indicates a slight advantage for RB Leipzig playing at Red Bull Arena, their usual stadium. The statistics show that Leipzig performs very strongly at home, with 5 wins in the last 5 home games and a high average of goals scored (3 per game) against only 1 conceded. Leverkusen has good away stats but suffers more defensively and has a lower average of accurate shots (2 per game vs 8 for Leipzig). Additionally, ball possession is slightly in favor of the visitor (53% vs 48%), indicating they might try to control the game.

📈 In the league table, both teams are fighting for important positions — this increases the need for both sides to seek victory to maintain or improve their standings. RB Leipzig is trying to recover after some recent defensive difficulties and lack of reinforcements; meanwhile, Bayer Leverkusen is riding high from their good Champions League campaign but has key absences due to injuries and suspensions that could impact the match.

📰 News reports indicate RB Leipzig faces defensive issues highlighted in their recent loss to Union Berlin, but they have a creative midfield like Baumgartner. On the other hand, Bayer Leverkusen is missing key players in defense and attack due to suspensions and injuries — which could limit their offensive capacity away from home.

Analyzing the median odds (2 for home win; 3.8 for draw; 3.3 for away win), the normalized implied probabilities suggest something close to: RB Leipzig win ~45%, draw ~24%, Bayer Leverkusen win ~31%. Considering recent offensive/defensive stats combined with the visitors absences, I believe these probabilities are consistent.

Compared to the predictions from Bets Kenya — which suggest lower fair odds for a home win (~1.84), indicating a higher chance for them — I see value in this bet as my calculations also favor the Red Bull Arena team despite their recent issues.

Suggestion: betting on RB Leipzig to win seems like a good choice 🟢 with an expected positive value above 10%, taking advantage of their home dominance and the current weaknesses of the opponent.
Avoid bets on a draw or away win due to the higher risk given the absences.

Always remember: analyses are based on the data available so far! ⚠️

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on RB Leipzig x Bayer Leverkusen?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on RB Leipzig x Bayer Leverkusen:

Analysis from RB Leipzig x Bayer Leverkusen for the Germany Bundesliga I – 20 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between RB Leipzig and Bayer Leverkusen.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1454884 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Latest news on the match between RB Leipzig and Bayer Leverkusen

RB Leipzig: RB Leipzig has been facing difficulties in recent weeks, suffering a 3-1 defeat to Union Berlin which exposed defensive weaknesses, despite a strong performance by midfielder Christoph Baumgartner, who has already surpassed his goal tally from the previous two seasons; meanwhile, the clubs winter transfer activity remains minimal, with no significant arrivals announced and striker Timo Werner still not moving out, as his contract ends in summer, leaving his future uncertain. The team remains in the race for the DFB-Pokal quarter-finals and hopes to stabilize the squad during the January break.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Bayer 04 Leverkusen has shown good performance in the Champions League, beating Manchester City 2-0 in London despite a depleted squad, and drawing 2-2 with Newcastle United at BayArena, where goalkeeper Mark Flekken missed a penalty after fouling Nick Woltemade. In the Bundesliga, the Werkself secured a 2-0 victory in the Cologne derby but is dealing with an increasing list of injuries and suspensions: defender Jarell Quansah is suspended, midfielder Ernest Poku left with thigh problems in the Cologne derby, and both Alejandro Grimaldo and Patrik Schick missed this match. Coach Kasper Hjulmand also plans to loan striker Alejo Sarco in winter to gain playing time, while the club has already transferred young Kerim Alajbegovic to RB Salzburg for 2 million euros, with a buyback clause of 6 million euros for summer 2026. Upcoming fixtures include a Bundesliga match against Köln, a Champions League round of 16 game against Olympiakos Piraeus on January 20, 2026, and a subsequent match against PSV Eindhoven in the same competition.

Table analysis for the game between RB Leipzig and Bayer Leverkusen

RB Leipzig: RB Leipzig is in 2nd place in the Bundesliga, with 29 points, tied with Borussia Dortmund, which is just behind in the table. With a good margin over the teams below and still aiming to close the gap to the leader Bayern Munich, with 38 points, this match is very important to solidify their position in the Champions League zone and try to shorten the distance to the top. Every point counts to keep the fight alive for the title or at least for second place. ⚽🔥

Bayer Leverkusen: They are in 4th place with 26 points, the same as the 5th place TSG Hoffenheim. Leverkusen fights to secure a direct spot in the Champions League, as 4th place grants this advantage. Since it is a direct confrontation against a rival in the table, the game is crucial to avoid losing positions and even to try to surpass RB Leipzig. Therefore, this match can significantly influence the final classification for the club.

Summary: The match between RB Leipzig and Bayer Leverkusen is highly important for both, as they are competing for direct positions in the Champions League qualification zone and need to earn points to secure or improve their standings. It’s a duel that can shake up the top of the table at this point in the season. ⚔️🔥

Tips for the Match Odds market for RB Leipzig x Bayer Leverkusen

Is it worth betting on RB Leipzig?

🔵 RB Leipzig: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 52.73% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 530 times – profiting $530.00;
• And would lose other 470 times – losing -$470.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$60.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $588.00;
• And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$202.00.

Should you bet on Bayer Leverkusen?

🔴 Bayer Leverkusen: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $598.00;
• And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$142.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match RB Leipzig x Bayer Leverkusen

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 RB Leipzig
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for RB Leipzig x Bayer Leverkusen

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 RB Leipzig, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 RB Leipzig.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for RB Leipzig x Bayer Leverkusen

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.