Mathare United x Sofapaka FC Betting tips for December 17 in Kenya Premier League
| 📅 17/12/2025 12:00 |
 Mathare United2.47 |
X 2.81 |
Sofapaka FC  2.86 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Mathare United x Sofapaka FC:
🔮 Sofapaka FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sofapaka FC, you can win up to $1430.00!
Important information for your tip for Mathare United x Sofapaka FC:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Mathare United in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-90.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sofapaka FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $82.0.
👉 Sofapaka FC did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 3 Mathare United matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 Sofapaka FC matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Sofapaka FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Mathare United conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Sofapaka FC.
👉 It is not a good time for Sofapaka FC as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.
Looking for another bookie to bet on Mathare United x Sofapaka FC?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Mathare United x Sofapaka FC:
Analysis from Mathare United x Sofapaka FC for the Kenya Premier League – 17 of December
🏟️ Mathare United X Sofapaka FC – Kenya Premier League
📅 17 of December, 2025 – 12:00
🔵 Mathare United – Winning probability: 26.03% | Fair line: 3.84
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.80% | Fair line: 3.6
🔴 Sofapaka FC – Winning probability: 46.17% | Fair line: 2.17
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Mathare United
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
When the best bet on Mathare United x Sofapaka FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1454522 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Mathare United x Sofapaka FC
Is it worth betting on Mathare United?
🔵 Mathare United: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.47. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $382.20;
- And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$357.80.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.81. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $506.80;
- And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$213.20.
Should you bet on Sofapaka FC?
🔴 Sofapaka FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.17% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.86. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 460 times – profiting $855.60;
- And would lose other 540 times – losing -$540.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$315.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Mathare United x Sofapaka FC
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Mathare United
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mathare United x Sofapaka FC
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Mathare United and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Mathare United.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mathare United x Sofapaka FC
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.
