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Home » Predictions » Kenyan Premier League » Gor Mahia x Kakamega Homeboyz Betting tips for December 17 in Kenya Premier League
Wednesday, 17 December 2025, 13h00 Kenya Premier League
Gor Mahia Gor Mahia
PREDICTION Gor Mahia wins Probability 60% 1 X 2
Kakamega Homeboyz Kakamega Homeboyz
ODD: @1.92
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Gor Mahia x Kakamega Homeboyz Betting tips for December 17 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Gor Mahia x Kakamega Homeboyz, Wednesday, 17/12/2025
📅 17/12/2025
13:00
Gor Mahia Gor Mahia
1.92
X
2.98
Kakamega Homeboyz Kakamega Homeboyz
4.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Gor Mahia x Kakamega Homeboyz:

🔮 Gor Mahia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Gor Mahia, you can win up to $960.00!

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The main points for the tip for Gor Mahia x Kakamega Homeboyz:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Gor Mahia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-142.0.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Gor Mahia x Kakamega Homeboyz, with Gor Mahia as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Gor Mahia did not receive any yellow cards in the last 3 matches as the home team.
👉 Gor Mahia has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Kakamega Homeboyz playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Gor Mahia x Kakamega Homeboyz for the Kenya Premier League – 17 of December

🏟️ Gor Mahia X Kakamega Homeboyz – Kenya Premier League
📅 17 of December, 2025 – 13:00
🔵 Gor Mahia – Winning probability: 60.84% | Fair line: 1.64
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.37% | Fair line: 3.65
🔴 Kakamega Homeboyz – Winning probability: 11.79% | Fair line: 8.48
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Gor Mahia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Gor Mahia x Kakamega Homeboyz right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1454522 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Gor Mahia x Kakamega Homeboyz

Is it worth betting on Gor Mahia?

🔵 Gor Mahia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 60.84% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.92. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 610 times – this would give you a profit of $561.20
  • And would lose other 390 times – losing -$390.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$171.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.37%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.98. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $534.60;
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$195.40.

Is betting on Kakamega Homeboyz worth it?

🔴 Kakamega Homeboyz: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $360.00
  • And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$520.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Gor Mahia x Kakamega Homeboyz

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Gor Mahia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gor Mahia x Kakamega Homeboyz

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Gor Mahia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Gor Mahia.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gor Mahia x Kakamega Homeboyz

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves