Wolverhampton x Brentford Betting tips for December 20 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Wolverhampton x Brentford, Saturday, 20/12/2025

📅 20/12/2025 15:00

Wolverhampton 3.44

X 3.35

Brentford 2.10

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Wolverhampton x Brentford:

🔮 Brentford wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Brentford, you can win up to $1050.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Wolverhampton x Brentford:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Wolverhampton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Brentford in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Brentford did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 3 Brentford matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Wolverhampton conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Brentford conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Wolverhampton conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Brentford.
👉 It is not a good time for Wolverhampton as home team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last home matches.
👉 It is not a good time for Brentford as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

🤖 ChatGPT analysis on the prediction for Wolverhampton vs Brentford:

Lets analyze the match between Wolverhampton and Brentford at Molineux Stadium, Wolverhamptons traditional home, which has a capacity of about 32,384 spectators, ensuring the home advantage for the Wolves.

📈 Table analysis: Wolverhampton is in a critical phase with 10 consecutive losses across all competitions and no wins in the last five home games in the Premier League. Brentford, on the other hand, has a slightly better streak, despite fluctuating results like a draw against Leeds and elimination from the Carabao Cup by Manchester City. Brentfords morale seems higher due to the comfortable distance from the relegation zone (7 points), while Wolves face intense pressure to avoid relegation.

📰 Team news: Wolves suffer from serious defensive issues (4 goals conceded this season) and pressure on coach Rob Edwards after five consecutive defeats under his management. They may also lose key players due to AFCON, further weakening the squad. Conversely, Brentford focuses on maintaining form in the Premier League after cup elimination; this may indicate greater focus on the main championship.

Based on median odds, the implied normalized probabilities are: Wolverhampton win ~26%, draw ~30%, Brentford win ~44%. Recent stats show Wolves score little (1 goal per game at home) and concede many (3 per game), while Brentford scores less away (~0 goals per game) but concedes fewer (~2). The Bets Kenya model indicates high odds for Wolves victory (~4.83), suggesting a low chance of winning; low odds for Brentford (~1.82), indicating clear favoritism for the visitors.

However, considering Wolves defensive fragility combined with extreme pressure and Brentfords relative stability away from home despite recent limited offensive power, I assess that the fair probability for the visitors victory is high (around 45%), a reasonable draw (~30%), and a low chance for the home team to win (<25%).

Thus, fair odds would be approximately: Wolverhampton victory ~4.0+, Draw ~3.3-3.5, Brentford victory ~2.2-2.3 — meaning current odds heavily favor the visitor with an expected value above 9% on this bet.

Recommended bet: I fully agree with the Bets Kenya model suggestion: betting on Brentfords victory offers a significant positive expected value (>9%) because they are in a better psychological/moral moment and exploit clear weaknesses of the home team even when playing away.

Final summary:
Wolverhampton faces a serious technical crisis playing at Molineux Stadium but cannot translate this into positive results; Brentford maintains some consistency away from home, focused on the Premier League.
Current odds reflect this reality, favoring the visitor.
My bet is 🐝 Brentford victory with an estimated expected value above +9%. Good luck! 🍀

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Analysis from Wolverhampton x Brentford for the England Premier League – 20 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Wolverhampton x Brentford right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1455033 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Latest news on the match between Wolverhampton and Brentford

Wolverhampton Wanderers: Wolverhampton Wanderers suffered a 2-1 defeat to Arsenal on December 17, 2025, with Yerson Mosqueras own goal in the 94th minute sealing the loss and marking the clubs fourth own goal of the Premier League season, the highest in the division; the result extended Wolves poor run to ten consecutive losses across all competitions and was their fifth defeat in five matches under coach Rob Edwards, who is now under heavy pressure as the club also faces the possibility of losing four African international players during the upcoming AFCON transfer window, worsening concerns about squad depth and defensive weaknesses.

Brentford: Brentfords recent week was a rollercoaster: the Bees held Leeds United to a 1-1 draw at Gtech Community Stadium, with Dominic Calvert-Lewins late header rescuing a point and increasing Brentfords lead over the relegation zone to seven points, despite their strong home streak being broken; a few hours later, they were eliminated from the Carabao Cup after losing 2-0 to Manchester City in the quarter-finals at Etihad, where Rayan Cherki scored both goals and backup goalkeeper James Trafford was not used, allowing Thomas Frank to focus on maintaining the clubs form in the Premier League and building on their solid home performance.

Table analysis for the game between Wolverhampton and Brentford

Wolverhampton: Wolverhampton is in 20th place in the table, with only 2 points earned in 16 matches and a very negative goal difference (-26). They are in the relegation zone, practically without mathematical chances to escape, given their performance is much worse than the rest of the league. Therefore, for Wolverhampton, this match against Brentford is crucial to try to earn their first points and boost team morale, even if recovery is unlikely from a sporting perspective. Each point can represent hope for the season, making the game very important from a motivational and relegation battle standpoint.

Brentford: Brentford is in 15th place, with 20 points, 2 points above the relegation zone, but also relatively far from the top positions. For Brentford, the game is important to solidify their stay in the Premier League. Gaining three points against a direct opponent at the bottom of the table can be decisive to ensure safety in the competition and distance themselves from the risk of relegation in upcoming rounds.

Summary: This matchup is important for both teams, but for different reasons. Wolverhampton will try to fight relegation and seek their first points, while Brentford needs a victory to move away from the dangerous zone. It’s a highly motivated contest at the lower end of the table, very significant for both teams’ ambitions in this final stretch of the season.

Tips for the Match Odds market for Wolverhampton x Brentford

Is betting on Wolverhampton worth it?

🔵 Wolverhampton: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.44. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $536.80
• And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$243.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.69% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $611.00
• And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$129.00.

Is it worth betting on Brentford?

🔴 Brentford: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 52.63%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 530 times – this would give you a profit of $583.00
• And would have lost other 470 times – with a loss of -$470.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$113.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Wolverhampton x Brentford

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Wolverhampton
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Wolverhampton x Brentford

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Wolverhampton, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Wolverhampton.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Wolverhampton x Brentford

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.