Tottenham x Liverpool Betting tips for December 20 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Tottenham x Liverpool, Saturday, 20/12/2025

📅 20/12/2025 17:30

Tottenham 3.30

X 3.75

Liverpool 2.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Tottenham x Liverpool:

🔮 Liverpool wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Liverpool, you can win up to $1000.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Tottenham x Liverpool:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Tottenham in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $24.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Liverpool in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $27.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Tottenham scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Liverpool scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Liverpool, Tottenham scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Liverpool has not lost any of them.

🤖 ChatGPT analysis on the prediction for Tottenham vs Liverpool:

Lets analyze the match between Tottenham and Liverpool at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, a modern stadium with great capacity to support the home team. ⚽️

📈 Tottenham is coming from a tough phase, occupying 11th place in the Premier League with a poor start, including a heavy 3-0 loss to Nottingham Forest. The team has obvious defensive issues, conceding many goals due to individual errors and showing low passing accuracy (79%). At home, despite scoring an average of 2 goals per game in recent matches, they also concede about 1 goal per game. Liverpool, on the other hand, is on a positive rise with five unbeaten games and has Salah back, giving new energy to the team. Away from home, they score an average of 2 goals but also concede about 2 goals.

The median odds indicate a clear favoritism for Liverpool (odds ~2), while Tottenhams victory is around 3.3 and a draw close to 3.75.

Calculating the implied probabilities from the median odds gives:

• Probability of Tottenham victory: ~30%
• Probability of a draw: ~27%
• Probability of Liverpool victory: ~43%

Adjusting to sum to 100%, these probabilities well reflect the current form of the teams.

Analyzing recent offensive and defensive stats along with news:

• Tottenham: strong home attack but vulnerable defense; crowd pressure might help but individual errors are concerning;
• Liverpool: efficient attack even away; less solid defense away, as shown by goals conceded;

Based on this, my fair estimate for the probabilities would be approximately:

• Tottenham win: ~28% (slightly below market suggested odds)
• Draw: ~25% (slightly below market)
• Liverpool win: ~47% (more likely than the market suggests)

From this, fair odds would be roughly:

• It is fully consistent to bet on Liverpool due to the higher adjusted probability.

And what about the expected value? Considering the final market odds (Tottenham @3.5 / Draw @3.6 / Liverpool @2):

• Betting on Liverpool, even with lower odds (~2), offers a positive expected value (+12%), confirming it as a recommended bet according to Bets Kenya model;

However, I see no value in bets on a draw or Tottenham victory due to Spurs poor form and defensive fragility highlighted in recent news.

📰 News heavily influenced my analysis as they clearly show Tottenham is going through a difficult tactical-technical phase, while Liverpool is on a roll, especially after Salahs important return – this reinforces my bet on the visiting team even playing away.

📈 In the table, this difference translates into Tottenhams urgent need to react against a strong opponent to maintain their unbeaten streak – an extra motivational factor for the away side here!

Final conclusion: I fully agree with the bet suggested by the Bets Kenya model — bet on Liverpool. This is a safe bet considering recent statistics, current tactical scenario of the teams, and the calculated expected value (+12%). I would avoid bets on a draw or Spurs victory at this moment! 🚀🔥

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Tottenham x Liverpool?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Tottenham x Liverpool for the England Premier League – 20 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Tottenham and Liverpool.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1455033 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

The latest news about Tottenham x Liverpool

Tottenham: Tottenham suffered a 3-0 defeat to Nottingham Forest on December 14, 2025, ending a three-match unbeaten streak and marking their worst Premier League start in 17 years, currently sitting 11th in the table; coach Thomas Frank criticized the teams careless performance, highlighting five individual mistakes that directly led to goals this season — more than any other club except Wolves, the last-placed team — and a pass accuracy of 79%, also noting that there is no “quick fix” to reverse recent losses.

Liverpool: Liverpool extended their unbeaten run to five matches with a 2-0 victory over Brighton at Anfield, where Mohamed Salah made a triumphant return after being excluded from the Champions League squad, coming into the game early due to Joe Gomezs injury and helping the team despite a lower xG, while new signing Hugo Ekitike scored both goals, becoming the leagues most prolific open-play scorer after just a few matches; coach Arne Slot confirmed there is “no problem to solve” with Salah and praised his performance, and former Liverpool defender Jamie Carragher made a public appeal for the Egyptian forward to stay at Anfield for the rest of the season.

Table analysis for the match between Tottenham x Liverpool

Tottenham: Tottenham is currently in 11th place with 22 points and is outside the European competition qualification zone at the moment. Since the points gap to 7th place Liverpool is 4 points, and there are few rounds left in the Premier League, this match is crucial for Tottenham to try to close the gap and dream of a spot in the Europa League. It is also important to stay safely ahead of the teams just behind in the table that could threaten their current position.

Liverpool: Liverpool is in 7th place with 26 points, fighting to enter the European qualification spots (usually reserved for the top 6 in the Premier League). The difference to 6th place Manchester United is 0 points, and the team is 4 points ahead of Tottenham. Therefore, this match is very important for Liverpool to confirm their position in the international qualification zone, keep close competitors at bay, and aim for a higher position in the table.

Summary: This match is important for both teams, as Tottenham seeks to get closer to European qualification while Liverpool wants to secure or improve their position to compete outside England next season. A direct confrontation impacting the mid-table and continental aspirations! ⚽🔥

Tips for the Match Odds market for Tottenham x Liverpool

Is it a good idea to bet on Tottenham?

🔵 Tottenham: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 220 times – profiting $506.00;
• And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$274.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.42% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $577.50
• And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$212.50.

Is it worth betting on Liverpool?

🔴 Liverpool: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 56.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 570 times – this would give you a profit of $570.00
• And would lose other 430 times – losing -$430.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$140.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Tottenham x Liverpool

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Tottenham
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tottenham x Liverpool

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Tottenham and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Tottenham.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tottenham x Liverpool

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.