NK Varazdin x Istra 1961 Betting tips for December 19 in Croatia HNL

Our betting tip for NK Varazdin x Istra 1961, Friday, 19/12/2025

📅 19/12/2025 15:00

NK Varazdin 2.45

X 3.00

Istra 1961 2.85

Our algorithm has selected this tip for NK Varazdin x Istra 1961:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for NK Varazdin x Istra 1961

The main points for the tip for NK Varazdin x Istra 1961:

👉 If you had bet $100 on NK Varazdin in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $190.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Istra 1961 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $90.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, NK Varazdin scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Istra 1961 conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 NK Varazdin has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Istra 1961 playing at home.

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Analysis from NK Varazdin x Istra 1961 for the Croatia HNL – 19 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for NK Varazdin x Istra 1961 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1454884 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for NK Varazdin x Istra 1961

Is it worth betting on NK Varazdin?

🔵 NK Varazdin: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 40.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 400 times – this would give you a profit of $580.00
• And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$20.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.7%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $560.00
• And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$160.00.

Is betting on Istra 1961 worth it?

🔴 Istra 1961: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $592.00
• And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$88.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Handicaps analysis for the match NK Varazdin x Istra 1961

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 NK Varazdin
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for NK Varazdin x Istra 1961

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 NK Varazdin, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 NK Varazdin.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for NK Varazdin x Istra 1961

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.