Brackley x Morecambe Betting tips for December 21 in England National League

Our betting tip for Brackley x Morecambe, Sunday, 21/12/2025

📅 21/12/2025 12:00

Brackley 1.90

X 3.42

Morecambe 3.40

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Brackley x Morecambe:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Brackley x Morecambe

Some important points for the tip for Brackley x Morecambe:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Brackley in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-327.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Morecambe in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-200.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Brackley scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Brackley matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Brackley conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Brackley x Morecambe for the England National League – 21 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Brackley and Morecambe.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1455219 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Brackley x Morecambe

Is it a good idea to bet on Brackley?

🔵 Brackley: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 47.37%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 470 times – this would give you a profit of $423.00
• And would have lost other 530 times – with a loss of -$530.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$107.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.37% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.42. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $653.40;
• And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$76.60.

Should you bet on Morecambe?

🔴 Morecambe: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 250 times – profiting $600.00;
• And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$150.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Brackley x Morecambe

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Brackley
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Brackley x Morecambe

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Brackley, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Brackley.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Morecambe.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Brackley x Morecambe

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.