Erzgebirge Aue x Schweinfurt 05 Betting tips for December 20 in Germany 3. Liga
| 📅 20/12/2025 13:00 |
 Erzgebirge Aue1.64 |
X 3.83 |
Schweinfurt 05  4.31 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Erzgebirge Aue x Schweinfurt 05:
🔮 Erzgebirge Aue wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Erzgebirge Aue, you can win up to $820.00!
Important information for your tip for Erzgebirge Aue x Schweinfurt 05:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Erzgebirge Aue in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-290.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Schweinfurt 05 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Schweinfurt 05 conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Schweinfurt 05 as away team: it comes from 6 losses in a row in its last away matches.
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Erzgebirge Aue x Schweinfurt 05?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Erzgebirge Aue x Schweinfurt 05, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Erzgebirge Aue x Schweinfurt 05 for the Germany 3. Liga – 20 of December
🏟️ Erzgebirge Aue X Schweinfurt 05 – Germany 3. Liga
📅 20 of December, 2025 – 13:00
🔵 Erzgebirge Aue – Winning probability: 68.21% | Fair line: 1.47
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.57% | Fair line: 5.11
🔴 Schweinfurt 05 – Winning probability: 12.23% | Fair line: 8.18
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Erzgebirge Aue
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Erzgebirge Aue x Schweinfurt 05 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1454522 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Erzgebirge Aue x Schweinfurt 05
Is betting on Erzgebirge Aue worth it?
🔵 Erzgebirge Aue: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 68.21% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.64. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 680 times – profiting $435.20;
- And would have lost other 320 times – with a loss of -$320.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$115.20.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.57% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.83. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 200 times – profiting $566.00;
- And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$234.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Schweinfurt 05?
🔴 Schweinfurt 05: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.23% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.31. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $397.20
- And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$482.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Erzgebirge Aue x Schweinfurt 05
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Erzgebirge Aue
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Erzgebirge Aue x Schweinfurt 05
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Erzgebirge Aue, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Erzgebirge Aue.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Erzgebirge Aue x Schweinfurt 05
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
