Chaves x Portimonense Betting tips for December 20 in Portugal Segunda Liga

Our betting tip for Chaves x Portimonense, Saturday, 20/12/2025

📅 20/12/2025 14:00

Chaves 1.64

X 3.60

Portimonense 4.71

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Chaves x Portimonense:

🔮 Chaves wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chaves, you can win up to $820.00!

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The main points for the tip for Chaves x Portimonense:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Chaves in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-88.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Portimonense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $30.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Portimonense, Chaves scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 Chaves matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Portimonense conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Portimonense as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Chaves x Portimonense?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Chaves x Portimonense for the Portugal Segunda Liga – 20 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Chaves and Portimonense.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1454884 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Chaves x Portimonense

Is it a good idea to bet on Chaves?

🔵 Chaves: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 68.95% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.64. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 690 times – having a profit of $441.60;
• And would lose other 310 times – having a loss of -$310.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$131.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 180 times – profiting $468.00;
• And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$352.00.

Is it worth betting on Portimonense?

🔴 Portimonense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.99%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.71. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $482.30
• And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$387.70.

Handicaps analysis for the match Chaves x Portimonense

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Chaves
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chaves x Portimonense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Chaves and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Chaves. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chaves x Portimonense

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.