Padova x Sampdoria Betting tips for December 20 in Italy Serie B
| 📅 20/12/2025 14:00 |
 Padova2.80 |
X 2.95 |
Sampdoria  2.60 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Padova x Sampdoria:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1475.00!
Important information for your tip for Padova x Sampdoria:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Padova in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sampdoria in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 Padova matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Padova conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Sampdoria conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Sampdoria as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.
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Analysis from Padova x Sampdoria for the Italy Serie B – 20 of December
🏟️ Padova X Sampdoria – Italy Serie B
📅 20 of December, 2025 – 14:00
🔵 Padova – Winning probability: 28.68% | Fair line: 3.49
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 36.27% | Fair line: 2.76
🔴 Sampdoria – Winning probability: 35.06% | Fair line: 2.85
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Padova
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks
When the best bet on Padova x Sampdoria is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1455021 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Padova x Sampdoria
Is betting on Padova worth it?
🔵 Padova: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $522.00;
- And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$188.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 360 times – profiting $702.00;
- And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$62.00.
Is it worth betting on Sampdoria?
🔴 Sampdoria: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.06% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 350 times – profiting $560.00;
- And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$90.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Padova x Sampdoria
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Padova
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Padova x Sampdoria
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Padova, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Padova.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Sampdoria.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Padova x Sampdoria
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
