Varzim x Trofense Betting tips for December 20 in Portugal Liga 3

Our betting tip for Varzim x Trofense, Saturday, 20/12/2025

📅 20/12/2025 17:30

Varzim 2.22

X 3.02

Trofense 3.08

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Varzim x Trofense:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Varzim x Trofense

The main points for the tip for Varzim x Trofense:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Varzim in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-127.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Trofense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $150.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Trofense scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Trofense, Varzim scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Varzim x Trofense, with Varzim as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Trofense conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Varzim conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Trofense.
👉 In the last 6 road matches, Trofense has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Varzim x Trofense for the Portugal Liga 3 – 20 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Varzim and Trofense.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1455033 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Varzim x Trofense

Should you bet on Varzim?

🔵 Varzim: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 44.8%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.22. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $549.00
• And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$1.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.02. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – profiting $565.60;
• And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$154.40.

Should you bet on Trofense?

🔴 Trofense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.08. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $561.60;
• And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$168.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Varzim x Trofense

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Varzim
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Varzim x Trofense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Varzim and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Varzim.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Varzim x Trofense

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.