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Home » Predictions » Others » Real Madrid x Sevilla Betting tips for December 20 in Spain La Liga
Saturday, 20 December 2025, 20h00 Spain La Liga
Real Madrid Real Madrid
PREDICTION Real Madrid wins Probability 94% 1 X 2
Sevilla Sevilla
ODD: @1.22
Bonus 100% up to $500
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Real Madrid x Sevilla Betting tips for December 20 in Spain La Liga

Our betting tip for Real Madrid x Sevilla, Saturday, 20/12/2025
📅 20/12/2025
20:00
Real Madrid Real Madrid
1.22
X
6.50
Sevilla Sevilla
11.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Real Madrid x Sevilla:

🔮 Real Madrid wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Real Madrid, you can win up to $610.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Real Madrid x Sevilla:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Madrid in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-50.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sevilla in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-253.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Sevilla scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Sevilla, Real Madrid scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Sevilla conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Real Madrid has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Sevilla playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Real Madrid x Sevilla for the Spain La Liga – 20 of December

🏟️ Real Madrid X Sevilla – Spain La Liga
📅 20 of December, 2025 – 20:00
🔵 Real Madrid – Winning probability: 94.92% | Fair line: 1.05
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 3.05% | Fair line: 32.82
🔴 Sevilla – Winning probability: 2.04% | Fair line: 49.13
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Real Madrid
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Real Madrid and Sevilla.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1454522 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Real Madrid x Sevilla

Is betting on Real Madrid worth it?

🔵 Real Madrid: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 94.92%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.22. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 950 times – profiting $209.00;
  • And would have lost other 50 times – with a loss of -$50.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$159.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 3.05% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 30 times – profiting $165.00;
  • And would lose other 970 times – losing -$970.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$805.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Sevilla?

🔴 Sevilla: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.04% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 11.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $200.00
  • And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$780.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Real Madrid x Sevilla

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Real Madrid
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Real Madrid x Sevilla

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Real Madrid and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.0 Real Madrid.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 2.0 Sevilla.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Real Madrid x Sevilla

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves