FK Karvan x Neftchi Baku Betting tips for December 20 in Azerbaijan Premier League
| 📅 20/12/2025 10:00 |
 FK Karvan7.00 |
X 4.20 |
Neftchi Baku  1.36 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for FK Karvan x Neftchi Baku:
🔮 Neftchi Baku wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Neftchi Baku, you can win up to $680.00!
Important information for your tip for FK Karvan x Neftchi Baku:
👉 If you had bet $100 on FK Karvan in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-393.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Neftchi Baku in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-343.0.
👉 Neftchi Baku did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 5 Neftchi Baku matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 FK Karvan matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, FK Karvan conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for FK Karvan as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.
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Analysis from FK Karvan x Neftchi Baku for the Azerbaijan Premier League – 20 of December
🏟️ FK Karvan X Neftchi Baku – Azerbaijan Premier League
📅 20 of December, 2025 – 10:00
🔵 FK Karvan – Winning probability: 3.18% | Fair line: 31.46
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.13% | Fair line: 12.3
🔴 Neftchi Baku – Winning probability: 88.69% | Fair line: 1.13
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 FK Karvan
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks
When the best bet on FK Karvan x Neftchi Baku is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1455033 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for FK Karvan x Neftchi Baku
Is it worth betting on FK Karvan?
🔵 FK Karvan: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 30 times – profiting $180.00;
- And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$790.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 80 times – profiting $256.00;
- And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$664.00.
Is it worth betting on Neftchi Baku?
🔴 Neftchi Baku: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 88.69% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.36. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 890 times – profiting $320.40;
- And would lose other 110 times – having a loss of -$110.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$210.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match FK Karvan x Neftchi Baku
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 FK Karvan
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FK Karvan x Neftchi Baku
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 FK Karvan, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 FK Karvan. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FK Karvan x Neftchi Baku
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
