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Home » Predictions » Others » Celta Fortuna x Real Madrid B Betting tips for December 20 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
Saturday, 20 December 2025, 15h15 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
Celta Fortuna Celta Fortuna
PREDICTION No tip
Real Madrid B Real Madrid B
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Celta Fortuna x Real Madrid B Betting tips for December 20 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1

Our betting tip for Celta Fortuna x Real Madrid B, Saturday, 20/12/2025
📅 20/12/2025
15:15
Celta Fortuna Celta Fortuna
2.14
X
3.20
Real Madrid B Real Madrid B
3.15

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Celta Fortuna x Real Madrid B:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Celta Fortuna x Real Madrid B

Some important points for the tip for Celta Fortuna x Real Madrid B:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Celta Fortuna in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $175.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Madrid B in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $150.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Celta Fortuna scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Real Madrid B matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Real Madrid B conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Celta Fortuna conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Real Madrid B.
👉 Celta Fortuna is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 home matches, it had at least 60.00% of possession.
👉 Real Madrid B is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 away matches, it had at least 62.00% of possession.

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Summary

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Analysis from Celta Fortuna x Real Madrid B for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 – 20 of December

🏟️ Celta Fortuna X Real Madrid B – Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
📅 20 of December, 2025 – 15:15
🔵 Celta Fortuna – Winning probability: 45.36% | Fair line: 2.2
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.24% | Fair line: 3.2
🔴 Real Madrid B – Winning probability: 23.40% | Fair line: 4.27
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Celta Fortuna
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Celta Fortuna x Real Madrid B right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1455033 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Celta Fortuna x Real Madrid B

Is betting on Celta Fortuna worth it?

🔵 Celta Fortuna: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 45.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.14. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $513.00;
  • And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$37.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $682.00;
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$8.00.

Is it worth betting on Real Madrid B?

🔴 Real Madrid B: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $494.50
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$275.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Celta Fortuna x Real Madrid B

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Celta Fortuna
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Celta Fortuna x Real Madrid B

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Celta Fortuna, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Celta Fortuna.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Celta Fortuna x Real Madrid B

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves