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Home » Predictions » Others » Virtus Verona x Lumezzane Betting tips for December 20 in Italy Serie C Group A
Saturday, 20 December 2025, 16h30 Italy Serie C Group A
Virtus Verona Virtus Verona
PREDICTION No tip
Lumezzane Lumezzane
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Virtus Verona x Lumezzane Betting tips for December 20 in Italy Serie C Group A

Our betting tip for Virtus Verona x Lumezzane, Saturday, 20/12/2025
📅 20/12/2025
16:30
Virtus Verona Virtus Verona
2.50
X
3.10
Lumezzane Lumezzane
2.59

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Virtus Verona x Lumezzane:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Virtus Verona x Lumezzane

The main points for the tip for Virtus Verona x Lumezzane:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Virtus Verona in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lumezzane in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $520.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Lumezzane scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Lumezzane matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Lumezzane has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Virtus Verona x Lumezzane for the Italy Serie C Group A – 20 of December

🏟️ Virtus Verona X Lumezzane – Italy Serie C Group A
📅 20 of December, 2025 – 16:30
🔵 Virtus Verona – Winning probability: 33.28% | Fair line: 3.0
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.98% | Fair line: 3.13
🔴 Lumezzane – Winning probability: 34.74% | Fair line: 2.88
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Virtus Verona
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Virtus Verona x Lumezzane right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1455033 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Virtus Verona x Lumezzane

Is betting on Virtus Verona worth it?

🔵 Virtus Verona: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.28%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $495.00;
  • And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$175.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $672.00
  • And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$8.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on Lumezzane?

🔴 Lumezzane: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.74% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.59. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $556.50;
  • And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$93.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Virtus Verona x Lumezzane

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Virtus Verona
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Virtus Verona x Lumezzane

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Virtus Verona, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Virtus Verona.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Virtus Verona x Lumezzane

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves