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Home » Predictions » Others » Tenerife x Ponferradina Betting tips for December 20 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
Saturday, 20 December 2025, 17h30 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
Tenerife Tenerife
PREDICTION Tenerife wins Probability 72% 1 X 2
Ponferradina Ponferradina
ODD: @1.49
Bonus 100% up to $500
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Tenerife x Ponferradina Betting tips for December 20 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1

Our betting tip for Tenerife x Ponferradina, Saturday, 20/12/2025
📅 20/12/2025
17:30
Tenerife Tenerife
1.49
X
3.55
Ponferradina Ponferradina
6.10

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Tenerife x Ponferradina:

🔮 Tenerife wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Tenerife, you can win up to $745.00!

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The main points for the tip for Tenerife x Ponferradina:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Tenerife in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-228.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Ponferradina in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-257.0.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Tenerife x Ponferradina, with Tenerife as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Tenerife has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Ponferradina playing at home.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Tenerife x Ponferradina?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Tenerife x Ponferradina, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Tenerife x Ponferradina for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 – 20 of December

🏟️ Tenerife X Ponferradina – Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
📅 20 of December, 2025 – 17:30
🔵 Tenerife – Winning probability: 72.90% | Fair line: 1.37
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.15% | Fair line: 4.96
🔴 Ponferradina – Winning probability: 6.95% | Fair line: 14.39
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Tenerife
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Tenerife x Ponferradina is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1455033 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Tenerife x Ponferradina

Is it a good idea to bet on Tenerife?

🔵 Tenerife: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 72.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.49. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 730 times – profiting $357.70;
  • And would lose other 270 times – losing -$270.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$87.70.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.15%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $510.00
  • And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$290.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Ponferradina?

🔴 Ponferradina: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $357.00
  • And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$573.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Tenerife x Ponferradina

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Tenerife
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tenerife x Ponferradina

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Tenerife, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Tenerife.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Tenerife.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tenerife x Ponferradina

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves