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Home » Predictions » Kenyan Premier League » Muranga Seal x Kenya Police FC Betting tips for December 18 in Kenya Premier League
Thursday, 18 December 2025, 12h00 Kenya Premier League
Muranga Seal Muranga Seal
PREDICTION Kenya Police FC Wins Probability 55% 1 X 2
Kenya Police FC Kenya Police FC
ODD: @1.93
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Muranga Seal x Kenya Police FC Betting tips for December 18 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Muranga Seal x Kenya Police FC, Thursday, 18/12/2025
📅 18/12/2025
12:00
Muranga Seal Muranga Seal
4.20
X
2.88
Kenya Police FC Kenya Police FC
1.93

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Muranga Seal x Kenya Police FC:

🔮 Kenya Police FC wins the match
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Some important points for the tip for Muranga Seal x Kenya Police FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Muranga Seal in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-180.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Administration Police FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $328.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Administration Police FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Muranga Seal conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Administration Police FC.
👉 Administration Police FC is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Muranga Seal x Kenya Police FC for the Kenya Premier League – 18 of December

🏟️ Muranga Seal X Kenya Police FC – Kenya Premier League
📅 18 of December, 2025 – 12:00
🔵 Muranga Seal – Winning probability: 17.52% | Fair line: 5.71
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.37% | Fair line: 3.65
🔴 Kenya Police FC – Winning probability: 55.11% | Fair line: 1.81
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Muranga Seal
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Muranga Seal x Kenya Police FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1454746 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Muranga Seal x Kenya Police FC

Is it worth betting on Muranga Seal?

🔵 Muranga Seal: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $576.00
  • And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$244.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.37% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $507.60;
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$222.40.

Should you bet on Kenya Police FC?

🔴 Kenya Police FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 55.11% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.93. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 550 times – having a profit of $511.50;
  • And would lose other 450 times – losing -$450.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$61.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Muranga Seal x Kenya Police FC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Muranga Seal
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Muranga Seal x Kenya Police FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Muranga Seal, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Muranga Seal.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Muranga Seal.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Muranga Seal x Kenya Police FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.00, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves