CD Estepona x Almeria B Betting tips for December 20 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4
| 📅 20/12/2025 16:00 |
 CD Estepona1.88 |
X 3.15 |
Almeria B  3.85 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for CD Estepona x Almeria B:
🔮 CD Estepona wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CD Estepona, you can win up to $940.00!
The main points for the tip for CD Estepona x Almeria B:
👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Estepona in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Almeria B in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $200.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, CD Estepona conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Almeria B conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for CD Estepona as home team: it comes from 8 losses in a row in its last home matches.
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Analysis from CD Estepona x Almeria B for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 – 20 of December
🏟️ CD Estepona X Almeria B – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4
📅 20 of December, 2025 – 16:00
🔵 CD Estepona – Winning probability: 59.57% | Fair line: 1.68
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.13% | Fair line: 4.32
🔴 Almeria B – Winning probability: 17.30% | Fair line: 5.78
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 CD Estepona
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CD Estepona x Almeria B right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1455033 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for CD Estepona x Almeria B
Is it a good idea to bet on CD Estepona?
🔵 CD Estepona: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 59.57%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 600 times – having a profit of $528.00;
- And would have lost other 400 times – with a loss of -$400.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$128.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 230 times – profiting $494.50;
- And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$275.50.
Is betting on Almeria B worth it?
🔴 Almeria B: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $484.50
- And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$345.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match CD Estepona x Almeria B
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 CD Estepona
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Estepona x Almeria B
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 CD Estepona, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 CD Estepona.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Almeria B.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Estepona x Almeria B
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
