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Home » Predictions » Others » UP Langreo x Valladolid Promesas Betting tips for December 20 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
Saturday, 20 December 2025, 17h00 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
UP Langreo UP Langreo
PREDICTION No tip
Valladolid Promesas Valladolid Promesas
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UP Langreo x Valladolid Promesas Betting tips for December 20 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1

Our betting tip for UP Langreo x Valladolid Promesas, Saturday, 20/12/2025
📅 20/12/2025
17:00
UP Langreo UP Langreo
2.20
X
3.00
Valladolid Promesas Valladolid Promesas
3.03

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for UP Langreo x Valladolid Promesas:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for UP Langreo x Valladolid Promesas

Some important points for the tip for UP Langreo x Valladolid Promesas:

👉 If you had bet $100 on UP Langreo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-130.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Valladolid Promesas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Valladolid Promesas scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between UP Langreo x Valladolid Promesas, with UP Langreo as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 Valladolid Promesas matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Valladolid Promesas conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, UP Langreo conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Valladolid Promesas.

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Summary

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Analysis from UP Langreo x Valladolid Promesas for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 – 20 of December

🏟️ UP Langreo X Valladolid Promesas – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
📅 20 of December, 2025 – 17:00
🔵 UP Langreo – Winning probability: 33.18% | Fair line: 3.01
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.30% | Fair line: 3.8
🔴 Valladolid Promesas – Winning probability: 40.52% | Fair line: 2.47
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 UP Langreo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on UP Langreo x Valladolid Promesas is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1455033 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for UP Langreo x Valladolid Promesas

Is it worth betting on UP Langreo?

🔵 UP Langreo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – profiting $396.00;
  • And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$274.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $520.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$220.00.

Is it worth betting on Valladolid Promesas?

🔴 Valladolid Promesas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 40.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.03. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $832.30;
  • And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$242.30.

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Handicaps analysis for the match UP Langreo x Valladolid Promesas

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 UP Langreo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UP Langreo x Valladolid Promesas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 UP Langreo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 UP Langreo. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UP Langreo x Valladolid Promesas

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves