US Latina Calcio x Crotone Betting tips for December 21 in Italy Serie C Group C

Our betting tip for US Latina Calcio x Crotone, Sunday, 21/12/2025

📅 21/12/2025 13:30

US Latina Calcio 3.75

X 3.21

Crotone 1.91

Our algorithm has selected this tip for US Latina Calcio x Crotone:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for US Latina Calcio x Crotone

Some important points for the tip for US Latina Calcio x Crotone:

👉 If you had bet $100 on US Latina Calcio in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Crotone in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-343.0.
👉 US Latina Calcio did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 7 US Latina Calcio matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Crotone conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from US Latina Calcio x Crotone for the Italy Serie C Group C – 21 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for US Latina Calcio x Crotone right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1455219 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for US Latina Calcio x Crotone

Is betting on US Latina Calcio worth it?

🔵 US Latina Calcio: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 230 times – profiting $632.50;
• And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$137.50.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.21. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $618.80
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$101.20.

Is it worth betting on Crotone?

🔴 Crotone: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 49.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.91. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 500 times – this would give you a profit of $455.00
• And would have lost other 500 times – with a loss of -$500.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$45.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match US Latina Calcio x Crotone

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 US Latina Calcio
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for US Latina Calcio x Crotone

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 US Latina Calcio, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 US Latina Calcio.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Crotone.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for US Latina Calcio x Crotone

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.