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Home » Predictions » Others » Auxerre x Monaco Betting tips for December 21 in France Cup
Sunday, 21 December 2025, 13h45 France Cup
Auxerre Auxerre
PREDICTION Monaco Wins Probability 72% 1 X 2
Monaco Monaco
ODD: @1.82
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Auxerre x Monaco Betting tips for December 21 in France Cup

Our betting tip for Auxerre x Monaco, Sunday, 21/12/2025
📅 21/12/2025
13:45
Auxerre Auxerre
3.80
X
3.55
Monaco Monaco
1.82

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Auxerre x Monaco:

🔮 Monaco wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Monaco, you can win up to $910.00!

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The main points for the tip for Auxerre x Monaco:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Auxerre in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-305.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Monaco in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-210.0.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Auxerre x Monaco, with Auxerre as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Monaco conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Auxerre conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Monaco.
👉 Even as a visitor, Monaco won the last 3 head-to-head matches Auxerre´s territory

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Summary

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Analysis from Auxerre x Monaco for the France Cup – 21 of December

🏟️ Auxerre X Monaco – France Cup
📅 21 of December, 2025 – 13:45
🔵 Auxerre – Winning probability: 19.03% | Fair line: 5.25
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.80% | Fair line: 11.36
🔴 Monaco – Winning probability: 72.17% | Fair line: 1.39
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Auxerre
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Auxerre x Monaco right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1455219 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Auxerre x Monaco

Is betting on Auxerre worth it?

🔵 Auxerre: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $532.00
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$278.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $229.50
  • And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$680.50.

Is betting on Monaco worth it?

🔴 Monaco: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 72.17% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.82. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 720 times – having a profit of $590.40;
  • And would have lost other 280 times – with a loss of -$280.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$310.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Auxerre x Monaco

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Auxerre
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Auxerre x Monaco

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Auxerre and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Auxerre.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Monaco.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Auxerre x Monaco

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves