Independiente del Valle x Barcelona Guayaquil Betting tips for December 21 in Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
| 📅 21/12/2025 21:00 |
 Independiente del Valle2.00 |
X 3.24 |
Barcelona Guayaquil  3.60 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Independiente del Valle x Barcelona Guayaquil:
🔮 Independiente del Valle wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Independiente del Valle, you can win up to $1000.00!
Important information for your tip for Independiente del Valle x Barcelona Guayaquil:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Independiente del Valle in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Barcelona Guayaquil in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $42.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Barcelona Guayaquil scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Barcelona Guayaquil, Independiente del Valle scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Independiente del Valle matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Barcelona Guayaquil conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Independiente del Valle conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Barcelona Guayaquil.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Barcelona Guayaquil has not lost any of them.
👉 Independiente del Valle has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Barcelona Guayaquil playing at home.
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Independiente del Valle x Barcelona Guayaquil?
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Analysis from Independiente del Valle x Barcelona Guayaquil for the Ecuador LigaPro Serie A – 21 of December
🏟️ Independiente del Valle X Barcelona Guayaquil – Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
📅 21 of December, 2025 – 21:00
🔵 Independiente del Valle – Winning probability: 78.46% | Fair line: 1.27
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.76% | Fair line: 7.27
🔴 Barcelona Guayaquil – Winning probability: 7.78% | Fair line: 12.85
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Independiente del Valle
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Independiente del Valle and Barcelona Guayaquil.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1454746 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Independiente del Valle x Barcelona Guayaquil
Is betting on Independiente del Valle worth it?
🔵 Independiente del Valle: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 78.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 780 times – profiting $780.00;
- And would lose other 220 times – losing -$220.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$560.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.24. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $313.60;
- And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$546.40.
Should you bet on Barcelona Guayaquil?
🔴 Barcelona Guayaquil: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $208.00
- And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$712.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Independiente del Valle x Barcelona Guayaquil
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Independiente del Valle
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Independiente del Valle x Barcelona Guayaquil
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Independiente del Valle and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Independiente del Valle.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Independiente del Valle.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Independiente del Valle x Barcelona Guayaquil
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
