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Home » Predictions » Others » Naxara x Real Unión Betting tips for December 21 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2
Sunday, 21 December 2025, 11h00 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2
Naxara Naxara
PREDICTION No tip
Real Unión Real Unión
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Naxara x Real Unión Betting tips for December 21 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2

Our betting tip for Naxara x Real Unión, Sunday, 21/12/2025
📅 21/12/2025
11:00
Naxara Naxara
4.10
X
3.15
Real Unión Real Unión
1.82

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Naxara x Real Unión:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Naxara x Real Unión

Important information for your tip for Naxara x Real Unión:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Naxara in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-80.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Unión in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $150.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Naxara scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Real Unión scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 road matches, Real Unión has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Naxara x Real Unión for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 – 21 of December

🏟️ Naxara X Real Unión – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2
📅 21 of December, 2025 – 11:00
🔵 Naxara – Winning probability: 20.29% | Fair line: 4.93
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.60% | Fair line: 3.91
🔴 Real Unión – Winning probability: 54.11% | Fair line: 1.85
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Naxara
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Naxara and Real Unión.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1455219 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Naxara x Real Unión

Should you bet on Naxara?

🔵 Naxara: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.29%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $620.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$180.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $559.00;
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$181.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Real Unión?

🔴 Real Unión: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 54.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.82. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 540 times – profiting $442.80;
  • And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$17.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Naxara x Real Unión

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Naxara
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Naxara x Real Unión

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Naxara and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Naxara.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Naxara x Real Unión

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves