Sofapaka FC x Kariobangi Sharks Betting tips for December 19 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Sofapaka FC x Kariobangi Sharks, Friday, 19/12/2025

📅 19/12/2025 13:00

Sofapaka FC 2.26

X 2.88

Kariobangi Sharks 3.16

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Sofapaka FC x Kariobangi Sharks:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Sofapaka FC x Kariobangi Sharks

Some important points for the tip for Sofapaka FC x Kariobangi Sharks:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Sofapaka FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-315.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Kariobangi Sharks in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-238.0.
👉 Sofapaka FC has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Kariobangi Sharks playing at home.

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Analysis from Sofapaka FC x Kariobangi Sharks for the Kenya Premier League – 19 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sofapaka FC x Kariobangi Sharks right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1454884 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sofapaka FC x Kariobangi Sharks

Is it a good idea to bet on Sofapaka FC?

🔵 Sofapaka FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 42.04%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.26. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 420 times – profiting $529.20;
• And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$50.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.62% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $620.40
• And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$49.60.

Is betting on Kariobangi Sharks worth it?

🔴 Kariobangi Sharks: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.35%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.16. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 250 times – profiting $540.00;
• And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$210.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Sofapaka FC x Kariobangi Sharks

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Sofapaka FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sofapaka FC x Kariobangi Sharks

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Sofapaka FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Sofapaka FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Kariobangi Sharks.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sofapaka FC x Kariobangi Sharks

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.