Athletic Bilbao x Espanyol Betting tips for December 22 in Spain La Liga
| 📅 22/12/2025 20:00 |
 Athletic Bilbao1.67 |
X 3.62 |
Espanyol  5.10 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Athletic Bilbao x Espanyol:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1810.00!
Important information for your tip for Athletic Bilbao x Espanyol:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Athletic Bilbao in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-72.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Espanyol in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $289.0.
👉 In the last 3 Espanyol matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
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Analysis from Athletic Bilbao x Espanyol for the Spain La Liga – 22 of December
🏟️ Athletic Bilbao X Espanyol – Spain La Liga
📅 22 of December, 2025 – 20:00
🔵 Athletic Bilbao – Winning probability: 49.28% | Fair line: 2.03
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.00% | Fair line: 3.12
🔴 Espanyol – Winning probability: 18.72% | Fair line: 5.34
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Athletic Bilbao
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Athletic Bilbao x Espanyol right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1454884 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Athletic Bilbao x Espanyol
Is betting on Athletic Bilbao worth it?
🔵 Athletic Bilbao: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 49.28%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.67. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 490 times – profiting $328.30;
- And would lose other 510 times – losing -$510.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$181.70.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.62. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $838.40;
- And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$158.40.
Should you bet on Espanyol?
🔴 Espanyol: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $779.00
- And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$31.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Athletic Bilbao x Espanyol
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Athletic Bilbao
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Athletic Bilbao x Espanyol
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Athletic Bilbao, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Athletic Bilbao.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Espanyol.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Athletic Bilbao x Espanyol
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
