Marbella FC x Hercules Betting tips for December 20 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2

Our betting tip for Marbella FC x Hercules, Saturday, 20/12/2025

📅 20/12/2025 15:15

Marbella FC 2.50

X 2.85

Hercules 2.75

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Marbella FC x Hercules:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Marbella FC x Hercules

Some important points for the tip for Marbella FC x Hercules:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Marbella FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-55.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Hercules in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Hercules conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Marbella FC x Hercules for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 – 20 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Marbella FC x Hercules right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1455033 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Marbella FC x Hercules

Is it worth betting on Marbella FC?

🔵 Marbella FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.42% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 330 times – profiting $495.00;
• And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$175.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.48% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $666.00;
• And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$26.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is betting on Hercules worth it?

🔴 Hercules: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.09% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $525.00
• And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$175.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Marbella FC x Hercules

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Marbella FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Marbella FC x Hercules

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Marbella FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Marbella FC.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Marbella FC x Hercules

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.