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Home » Predictions » Others » SA Merignac x Istres Betting tips for December 20 in France Cup
Saturday, 20 December 2025, 17h00 France Cup
SA Merignac SA Merignac
PREDICTION Istres Wins Probability 73% 1 X 2
Istres Istres
ODD: @1.4
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SA Merignac x Istres Betting tips for December 20 in France Cup

Our betting tip for SA Merignac x Istres, Saturday, 20/12/2025
📅 20/12/2025
17:00
SA Merignac SA Merignac
7.50
X
4.50
Istres Istres
1.40

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for SA Merignac x Istres:

🔮 Istres wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Istres, you can win up to $700.00!

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Some important points for the tip for SA Merignac x Istres:

👉 If you had bet $100 on SA Merignac in each of its last 4 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $1300.0.
👉 SA Merignac did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Istres scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 SA Merignac matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 road matches, Istres has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on SA Merignac x Istres?

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Analysis from SA Merignac x Istres for the France Cup – 20 of December

🏟️ SA Merignac X Istres – France Cup
📅 20 of December, 2025 – 17:00
🔵 SA Merignac – Winning probability: 11.22% | Fair line: 8.91
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.20% | Fair line: 6.58
🔴 Istres – Winning probability: 73.58% | Fair line: 1.36
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 SA Merignac
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for SA Merignac x Istres right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1455033 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for SA Merignac x Istres

Is betting on SA Merignac worth it?

🔵 SA Merignac: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.22% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $715.00
  • And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$175.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – profiting $525.00;
  • And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$325.00.

Is it worth betting on Istres?

🔴 Istres: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 73.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 740 times – this would give you a profit of $296.00
  • And would have lost other 260 times – with a loss of -$260.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$36.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match SA Merignac x Istres

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 SA Merignac
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SA Merignac x Istres

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 SA Merignac and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.25 SA Merignac.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.25 SA Merignac.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SA Merignac x Istres

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves