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Home » Predictions » Others » Pontivy GSI x SC Bastia Betting tips for December 20 in France Cup
Saturday, 20 December 2025, 17h00 France Cup
Pontivy GSI Pontivy GSI
PREDICTION SC Bastia Wins Probability 77% 1 X 2
SC Bastia SC Bastia
ODD: @1.44
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Pontivy GSI x SC Bastia Betting tips for December 20 in France Cup

Our betting tip for Pontivy GSI x SC Bastia, Saturday, 20/12/2025
📅 20/12/2025
17:00
Pontivy GSI Pontivy GSI
6.25
X
4.15
SC Bastia SC Bastia
1.44

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Pontivy GSI x SC Bastia:

🔮 SC Bastia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on SC Bastia, you can win up to $720.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Pontivy GSI x SC Bastia:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Pontivy GSI in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-300.0.

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Summary

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Analysis from Pontivy GSI x SC Bastia for the France Cup – 20 of December

🏟️ Pontivy GSI X SC Bastia – France Cup
📅 20 of December, 2025 – 17:00
🔵 Pontivy GSI – Winning probability: 9.90% | Fair line: 10.1
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.37% | Fair line: 8.09
🔴 SC Bastia – Winning probability: 77.73% | Fair line: 1.29
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Pontivy GSI
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Pontivy GSI and SC Bastia.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1455033 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Pontivy GSI x SC Bastia

Is it worth betting on Pontivy GSI?

🔵 Pontivy GSI: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $525.00
  • And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$375.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.37% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $378.00
  • And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$502.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on SC Bastia?

🔴 SC Bastia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 77.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.44. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 780 times – this would give you a profit of $343.20
  • And would lose other 220 times – losing -$220.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$123.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Pontivy GSI x SC Bastia

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Pontivy GSI
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pontivy GSI x SC Bastia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Pontivy GSI, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Pontivy GSI.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pontivy GSI x SC Bastia

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves