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Home Β» Predictions Β» Kenyan Premier League Β» Bidco United x AFC Leopards Betting tips for December 20 in Kenya Premier League
Saturday, 20 December 2025, 13h00 Kenya Premier League
Bidco United Bidco United
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AFC Leopards AFC Leopards
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Bidco United x AFC Leopards Betting tips for December 20 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Bidco United x AFC Leopards, Saturday, 20/12/2025
πŸ“… 20/12/2025
13:00
Bidco United Bidco United
3.64
X
2.82
AFC Leopards AFC Leopards
2.12

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Bidco United x AFC Leopards:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Bidco United x AFC Leopards

Important information for your tip for Bidco United x AFC Leopards:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Bidco United in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on AFC Leopards in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $215.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 AFC Leopards matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Bidco United conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against AFC Leopards.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, AFC Leopards has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Bidco United x AFC Leopards for the Kenya Premier League – 20 of December

🏟️ Bidco United X AFC Leopards – Kenya Premier League
πŸ“… 20 of December, 2025 – 13:00
πŸ”΅ Bidco United – Winning probability: 17.56% | Fair line: 5.69
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 36.52% | Fair line: 2.74
πŸ”΄ AFC Leopards – Winning probability: 45.91% | Fair line: 2.18
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Bidco United
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Bidco United x AFC Leopards is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1455033 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Bidco United x AFC Leopards

Should you bet on Bidco United?

πŸ”΅ Bidco United: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.64. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – profiting $475.20;
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$344.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.82. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $673.40;
  • And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$43.40 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on AFC Leopards?

πŸ”΄ AFC Leopards: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 45.91% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.12. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 460 times – this would give you a profit of $515.20
  • And would lose other 540 times – losing -$540.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$24.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Bidco United x AFC Leopards

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Bidco United
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bidco United x AFC Leopards

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Bidco United and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Bidco United.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bidco United x AFC Leopards

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves