Platges de Calvia x Mercadal Betting tips for December 20 in Spain Tercera Group 11

Our betting tip for Platges de Calvia x Mercadal, Saturday, 20/12/2025

📅 20/12/2025 11:30

Platges de Calvia 1.84

X 3.20

Mercadal 3.90

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Platges de Calvia x Mercadal:

🔮 Platges de Calvia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Platges de Calvia, you can win up to $920.00!

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Important information for your tip for Platges de Calvia x Mercadal:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Platges de Calvia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-16.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Mercadal in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $546.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Mercadal scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Mercadal, Platges de Calvia scored at least 1 goal(s).

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Platges de Calvia x Mercadal?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Platges de Calvia x Mercadal for the Spain Tercera Group 11 – 20 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Platges de Calvia x Mercadal right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1455033 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Platges de Calvia x Mercadal

Should you bet on Platges de Calvia?

🔵 Platges de Calvia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 61.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.84. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 610 times – having a profit of $512.40;
• And would have lost other 390 times – with a loss of -$390.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$122.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $506.00;
• And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$264.00.

Is it worth betting on Mercadal?

🔴 Mercadal: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.22% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $464.00;
• And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$376.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Platges de Calvia x Mercadal

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Platges de Calvia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Platges de Calvia x Mercadal

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Platges de Calvia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Platges de Calvia.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Platges de Calvia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Platges de Calvia x Mercadal

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.