CD Guarnizo x CD Barquereno Betting tips for December 20 in Spain Tercera Group 3
| 📅 20/12/2025 14:30 |
 CD Guarnizo1.70 |
X 3.50 |
CD Barquereno  4.20 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for CD Guarnizo x CD Barquereno:
🔮 CD Guarnizo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CD Guarnizo, you can win up to $850.00!
The main points for the tip for CD Guarnizo x CD Barquereno:
👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Guarnizo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $215.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Barquereno in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-41.0.
👉 CD Guarnizo did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, CD Guarnizo scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against CD Barquereno, CD Guarnizo scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 CD Guarnizo matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between CD Guarnizo x CD Barquereno, with CD Guarnizo as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 CD Guarnizo is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 CD Guarnizo has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against CD Barquereno.
Looking for another bookie to bet on CD Guarnizo x CD Barquereno?
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Analysis from CD Guarnizo x CD Barquereno for the Spain Tercera Group 3 – 20 of December
🏟️ CD Guarnizo X CD Barquereno – Spain Tercera Group 3
📅 20 of December, 2025 – 14:30
🔵 CD Guarnizo – Winning probability: 64.91% | Fair line: 1.54
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.24% | Fair line: 4.5
🔴 CD Barquereno – Winning probability: 12.85% | Fair line: 7.78
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 CD Guarnizo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CD Guarnizo x CD Barquereno right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1455021 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for CD Guarnizo x CD Barquereno
Is it worth betting on CD Guarnizo?
🔵 CD Guarnizo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 64.91% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 650 times – profiting $455.00;
- And would lose other 350 times – having a loss of -$350.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$105.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $550.00;
- And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$230.00.
Is it worth betting on CD Barquereno?
🔴 CD Barquereno: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $416.00
- And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$454.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match CD Guarnizo x CD Barquereno
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 CD Guarnizo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Guarnizo x CD Barquereno
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 CD Guarnizo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 CD Guarnizo.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 CD Barquereno.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Guarnizo x CD Barquereno
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.
