Alcorcon B x AD Parla Betting tips for December 20 in Spain Tercera Group 7

Our betting tip for Alcorcon B x AD Parla, Saturday, 20/12/2025

📅 20/12/2025 15:00

Alcorcon B 2.15

X 3.10

AD Parla 3.10

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Alcorcon B x AD Parla:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Alcorcon B x AD Parla

Some important points for the tip for Alcorcon B x AD Parla:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Alcorcon B in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $248.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Alcorcon B scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against AD Parla, Alcorcon B scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Alcorcon B conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against AD Parla.
👉 Alcorcon B is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Alcorcon B has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against AD Parla playing at home.

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Analysis from Alcorcon B x AD Parla for the Spain Tercera Group 7 – 20 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Alcorcon B x AD Parla right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1455033 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Alcorcon B x AD Parla

Is it worth betting on Alcorcon B?

🔵 Alcorcon B: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.7%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 440 times – profiting $506.00;
• And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$54.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.44% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $651.00
• And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$39.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on AD Parla?

🔴 AD Parla: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.86%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 250 times – profiting $525.00;
• And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$225.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Alcorcon B x AD Parla

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Alcorcon B
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alcorcon B x AD Parla

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Alcorcon B and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Alcorcon B.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alcorcon B x AD Parla

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.