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Home » Predictions » Others » At. Bembibre x Arandina Betting tips for December 20 in Spain Tercera Group 8
Saturday, 20 December 2025, 15h30 Spain Tercera Group 8
At. Bembibre At. Bembibre
PREDICTION No tip
Arandina Arandina
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At. Bembibre x Arandina Betting tips for December 20 in Spain Tercera Group 8

Our betting tip for At. Bembibre x Arandina, Saturday, 20/12/2025
📅 20/12/2025
15:30
At. Bembibre At. Bembibre
2.42
X
2.95
Arandina Arandina
2.70

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for At. Bembibre x Arandina:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for At. Bembibre x Arandina

The main points for the tip for At. Bembibre x Arandina:

👉 If you had bet $100 on At. Bembibre in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-125.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Arandina in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Arandina, At. Bembibre scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Arandina conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from At. Bembibre x Arandina for the Spain Tercera Group 8 – 20 of December

🏟️ At. Bembibre X Arandina – Spain Tercera Group 8
📅 20 of December, 2025 – 15:30
🔵 At. Bembibre – Winning probability: 32.54% | Fair line: 3.07
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.09% | Fair line: 3.44
🔴 Arandina – Winning probability: 38.37% | Fair line: 2.61
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 At. Bembibre
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on At. Bembibre x Arandina is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1455033 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for At. Bembibre x Arandina

Is it worth betting on At. Bembibre?

🔵 At. Bembibre: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.42. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – profiting $468.60;
  • And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$201.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.09%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $565.50;
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$144.50.

Is it worth betting on Arandina?

🔴 Arandina: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.37% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $646.00;
  • And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$26.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match At. Bembibre x Arandina

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 At. Bembibre
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for At. Bembibre x Arandina

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 At. Bembibre, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 At. Bembibre.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Arandina.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for At. Bembibre x Arandina

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves