CD Galapagar x Union Adarve Betting tips for December 20 in Spain Tercera Group 7

Our betting tip for CD Galapagar x Union Adarve, Saturday, 20/12/2025

📅 20/12/2025 15:30

CD Galapagar 2.80

X 3.10

Union Adarve 2.30

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for CD Galapagar x Union Adarve:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for CD Galapagar x Union Adarve

Important information for your tip for CD Galapagar x Union Adarve:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Galapagar in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-310.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Union Adarve in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.

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Analysis from CD Galapagar x Union Adarve for the Spain Tercera Group 7 – 20 of December

When the best bet on CD Galapagar x Union Adarve is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1455033 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CD Galapagar x Union Adarve

Should you bet on CD Galapagar?

🔵 CD Galapagar: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $558.00
• And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$132.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $672.00
• And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$8.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on Union Adarve?

🔴 Union Adarve: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $481.00;
• And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$149.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match CD Galapagar x Union Adarve

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 CD Galapagar
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Galapagar x Union Adarve

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 CD Galapagar and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 CD Galapagar.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Galapagar x Union Adarve

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.